The damages of smoking on health have been taken more and more seriously, most relative studies focus on fields in sociology, psychology, public health or economy. The act of smoking itself satisfies the smoker's need for consumption, but at the same time produces negative effect such as smoking...

In this paper, I estimate an open economy DSGE model for the Taiwanese economy. The model features multiple sources of real and nominal rigidities, including price and wage stickiness, investment and bond adjustment costs, as well as incomplete pass-through of exchange rates. Contrary to the...

This paper investigates the finite-sample behaviour of sovereign credit migration estimators and analyzes the properties of the rating process. Through bootstrap simulations, we compare a discrete multinomial estimator and two continuous hazard rate methods which differ in that one neglects...

We study in a VAR model the effects of monetary policy shocks with new Italian flow of funds data for 1980-2002. First, our results are consistent with the literature, without being affected by commonly found puzzles. Second, new features of the transmission of monetary policy shocks to the...

Qualitative behaviours of small firms are explored to forecast criticalities in the Italian credit market. We build up an evaluation process to integrate quantitative rating practices. Research method: Relevant qualitative factors to estimate the credit risk are empirically investigated by...

This paper shows that the standard Mortensen-Pissarides framework embedded in a RBC macroeconomic model with risk averse agents, capital and a labor-leisure choice has the ability to match all moments of the ac- tual US-unemployment rate and other labor market variables within tight bounds when...

This paper estimates a monetary DSGE model with labor market search with Bayesian methods to explain the fall in U.S. inflation in the 1980s and 1990s. After the high inflation of the 1970s, the U.S. have experienced low and stable for two decades. An obvious reason for the fall in inflation is...

We develop extensions of the variance-ratio statistic for testing the hypothesis a time series is uncorrelated and investigate their finite-sample performance. The tests employ an estimator of the asymptotic covariance matrix of the sample autocorrelations that is consistent under the null for...

A high degree of cyclical synchronization between the new EU member states (NMS) from Central and Eastern Europe and the euro area is generally seen as a prerequisite for successful EMU enlargement. We establish stylized facts on economic linkages between NMS and the euro area using dynamic...

In recent years the computers have shown to be a powerful tool in financial forecasting. Many machine learning techniques have been utilized to predict movements in financial markets. Machine learning classifiers involve extending the past experiences into the future. However the rareness of...