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In this study we build two forecasting models to predict inflation for the Netherlands and for the euro area. Inflation is the yearly change of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The models provide point forecasts and prediction intervals for both the subcomponents of the HICP and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005021864
aggregation methods to predict total HICP inflation perform about equally good. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005101948
forecasting di- rectly aggregate variables (direct approaches)out-perform methods based on the aggregation of country- specific …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605105
The use of principal component techniques to estimate approximate factor models with large cross-sectional dimension is now well established. However, recent work by Inklaar, Jacobs and Romp (2003) and Boivin and Ng (2005) has cast some doubt on the importance of a large cross-sectional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423277
Hedonic regressions are prone to omitted variable bias. The estimation of price relatives for new and disappearing goods using hedonic imputation methods involves taking ratios of hedonic models. This may lead to a situation where the omitted variable bias in each of the hedonic regressions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008565763
How risky are investments in residential real estate? To answer this question, information is needed about the behavior of house prices. The hedonic methodology has become a standard approach for modelling the prices of heterogeneous assets. Although intuitively appealing, it is often criticized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310353
How risky are investments in residential real estate? To answer this question, information is needed about the behavior of house prices. The hedonic methodology has become a standard approach for modelling the prices of heterogeneous assets. Although intuitively appealing, it is often criticized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956415
Total factor productivity (TFP) computed as Solow-residuals could be subject to input-substitution bias for two reasons. First, the Cobb-Douglas (CD) production function restricts all input substitutions to one. Second, observed inputs generally differ from optimal inputs, so that inputs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537473
Including disaggregate variables or using information extracted from the disaggregate variables into a forecasting model for an economic aggregate may improve the forecasting accuracy. In this paper we suggest to use the boosting method to select the disaggregate variables which are most helpful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010960087
The effects of systematic sampling and temporal aggregation on the seasonal cycle model (see Miron, 1993) and the … seasonally integrated process (see Hylleberg et al., 1990) are discussed. The temporal aggregation theory is used to improve the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217232