The market value of U.S. corporations was nearly halved following the oil crisis of October 1973. Real energy prices more than doubled by the end of the decade, increasing energy costs and spurring innovation in energy-saving technologies by corporations. This paper uses a neoclassical growth...

The objective of this paper is the evaluation of different Value at Risk (VaR) methodologies. In particular, four VaR methodologies (Normal, GARCH, Historical Simulation and Extreme Values (EV)), are compared for 36 indexes covering stock-exchanges worldwide. This paper proposes for the EV...

Central puzzles in international macroeconomics are why fluctuations of the real exchange rate are so volatile with respect to other macroeconomic variables, and the contradiction of efficient risk-sharing. Several theoretical contributions have evaluated alternative forms of pricing under...

This paper analyzes the implications of the standard monetary policy rules, embedded in a New-Keynesian structural macro-model, for the term structure of interest rates. We extend the standard New-Keynesian framework with unobservable factors representing the output-neutral real interest rate...

Have interest rates been held “too low†in relation to the natural rate of interest? Economists have lately begun to worry that the cost of capital may have fallen below the worldwide expected return on capital, thereby causing excessive borrowing and allowing financial imbalances to...

The literature on private information as a source of trade is probably most well known via the seminal work by Jean Tirole and Paul Milgrom and Nancy Stokey. We consider an arbitrage opportunity to be the result of the existence of such private information. We are interested to propose a model...

On the basis of a model on time consistent interaction of monetary and fiscal policy, we propose a positive theory of government debt and inflation. The basic take is that the long-term level of public liabilities can be explained as the endogenous outcome of a dynamic game played between two...

This paper evaluates whether an estimated, structural, small open economy model of the Canadian economy can account for the substantial influence of foreign-sourced disturbances identified in numerous reduced-form studies. The analysis shows that the benchmark model --- and a number of variants...

This paper examines two numerical methods for pricing of American spread options in the case where both underlying assets follow the jump-diffusion process of Merton (1976). We extend the integral equation representation for the American spread option presented by Broadie and Detemple (1997) to...

Until recently, latent variable models such as the factor analysis model for metric responses, the two-parameter logistic model for binary responses, the multinomial model for nominal responses considered only main effects of latent variables without allowing for interaction or polynomial latent...