In this paper, I examine the properties of the class of generalized empirical likelihood estimators of moment-condition models. These nonparametric likelihood estimators satisfy exactly the moment conditions and automatically remove any bias due to a lack of centering. Moreover, the bias of the...

Many economic time series are charecterized by high persistence which typically requires nonstandard limit theory for inference. This paper proposes a new method for constructing confidence intervals for the impulse response functions of nearly nonstationary processes. The method is based on...

This note documents a curious finding about the substantial forecast ability of a simple aggregator of three commodity futures prices for U.S. core inflation. The proposed aggregator reduces the out-of-sample root mean squared error for 12-month-ahead inflation forecasts of the benchmark AR(1)...