Market prices are well known to efficiently collect and aggregate diverse information regarding the value of commodities and assets. The role of markets has been particularly suitable to pricing financial securities. This article provides an alternative application of the pricing mechanism to...

Systemic risk is commonly used to describe the possibility of a series of correlated defaults among financial institutions - typically banks - that occur over a short period of time, often caused by a single major event. However, since the collapse of Long Term Capital Management in 1998, it has...

Systemic risk is commonly used to describe the possibility of a series of correlated defaults among financial institutions---typically banks---that occur over a short period of time, often caused by a single major event. However, since the collapse of Long Term Capital Management in 1998, it has...

We construct a computer simulation of a repeated double-auction market, designed to match those in experimental-market settings with human subjects, to model complex interactions among artificially-intelligent traders endowed with varying degrees of learning capabilities. In the course of six...

Market prices are well known to efficiently collect and aggregate diverse information regarding the economic value of goods, services, and firms, particularly when trading financial securities. We propose a novel application of the price discovery mechanism in the context of marketing research:...

The paper proposes a method that solves the non-monotonic power problem of a family of structural changes in mean tests based on an orthonormal series filtering of the error process before estimating variance of the test statistics. This method yields a consistent estimator for the variance...

We have developed an agent-based computational model, extension of an analytical model1 that studies the structure of coalitions of B-to-C web sites, when Internet buyers incur search costs for finding the good that matches their preferences, and coalitions of sites reduce this cost through...

Finance models of the term structure of interest rates have for a long time relied on unobserved factors as explanatory variables. In a seminal paper, Ang and Piazzesi (2003) have examined the potential role of macroeconomic variables in explaining the term structure. They, and subsequent...

This paper estimates a standard version of the New Keynesian Monetary Model (NKM) augmented with the term structure in order to analyze two types of issue. First we analyse the relative importance of policy inertia, persistent policy shocks and the term spread in the estimated US monetary policy...

This paper provides formulae for computing perturbation method approximations of unconditional variances of variables in nonlinear DSGE models. Spurious higher order terms that creep into multi-step ahead forecasts can produce explosive time paths frustrating traditional approaches to estimating...