Underground Economy -- 7 Insiders, Outsiders, and the Underground Economy -- 8 Wages, Unemployment, and the Underground Economy …

larger earnings fluctuations than employees and that they frequently transition into unemployment. Given the self …-employed are not eligible to unemployment insurance, I analyze the provision of benefits targeted at these risks using a calibrated …. This exercise suggests that extending the current US unemployment insurance scheme to the self-employed comes with a clear …

Using a New Keynesian Phillips curve, we document the rapid and persistent increase in the natural rate of unemployment … unemployment gaps. Through the lens of the model, the 2022-23 disinflation was driven by the expectation that the unemployment gap … will close through a progressive decline in ut* and a rise in the unemployment rate. This implies that convergence to long …