Jakab, Zoltán M.; Kovács, Mihály András; Lõrincz, … - Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) - 2000
The paper summarizes the research on forecasting the Hungarian export volume. We elaborated a two-step procedure. In the first step we forecasted foreign demand, then in the second step we forecasted Hungarian export using the best outcome of the first step together with real exchange rate and...