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reduced the top tax rate on capital gains. This paper explores the likely effect of JGTRRA on the composition of returns on … response to the recovery in earnings. In the longer run, the tax cuts will principally reduce companies’ cost of capital …, fostering capital deepening, when the economy is at full employment. With constant returns to scale prevailing at full …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352073
This paper uses the methodology of Hansen and Jaganathan (1991) to derive a lower bound on the correlation between any pair of asset returns under the hypothesis of complete markets. The bound is a simple function of the two assets' Sharpe ratios and the coefficient of variation of a unique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352362
This paper examines the impact of the stance of monetary policy on security returns. The two measures of the stance of monetary policy used, the federal funds rate and an index based on the changes in the discount rate, contain significant information that can be used to forecast expected stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352440
Also called: Inflation and stock prices: a long term view
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352770
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352795
We present a consumption-based model that explains the equity premium puzzle through two channels. First, because of borrowing constraints, the shareholder cannot completely diversify his income risk and requires a sizable risk premium on stocks. Second, because of limited stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352913
Numerous articles have investigated the distribution of share prices, and find that the yields are leptokurtic. There is still controversy about the amount of leptokurtosis, and hence about the most appropriate distribution to use in modeling returns. This controversy has proven hard to resole,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352921
In this paper, we use macrovariables advocated by recent authors to make out-of-sample forecast for returns on individual stocks and then sort stocks equally into ten portfolios on this proxy of conditionally expected returns. The average returns increase monotonically from the first decile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005353010
Allen and Karjalainen (1999) used genetic programming to develop optimal ex ante trading rules for the S&P 500 index. They found no evidence that the returns to these rules were higher than buy-and-hold returns but some evidence that the rules had predictive ability. This comment investigates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005353017