Adverse shocks to stock markets propagate across the world, with a jump in one region of the world seemingly causing an increase in the likelihood of a different jump in another region of the world. To capture this effect mathematically, we introduce a model for asset return dynamics with a...

This paper studies the problem of finding best-possible upper bounds on the Value-at-Risk for a function of two random variables when the marginal distributions are known and additional nonparametric information on the dependence structure, such as the value of a measure of association, is...

Theorem 15 of Embrechts et al. [Embrechts, Paul, Höing, Andrea, Puccetti, Giovanni, 2005. Worst VaR scenarios. Insurance: Math. Econom. 37, 115-134] proves that comonotonicity gives rise to the on-average-most-adverse Value-at-Risk scenario for a function of dependent risks, when the...

In this paper we develop a framework for optimal investment decisions for insurance companies in the presence of (partially) unhedgeable risk. The perspective that we choose is from an insurance company that maximises the stream of dividends paid to its shareholders. The policy instruments that...

We study self- and cross-excitation of shocks in the Eurozone sovereign CDS market. We adopt a multivariate setting with credit default intensities driven by mutually exciting jump processes, to capture the salient features observed in the data, in particular, the clustering of high default...