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Orthodox economics blames rigid labor markets and, consequently, high wages for high and persistent unemployment in the euro-area. This is at odds with stylized facts. Unemployment has remained high despite the fact that wage shares have fallen substantially since 1980. Wages moderation has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011137419
Using three distinct approaches—statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model— this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993–2013. The main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142066
In the current context of economic recovery and rebalancing, the necessity of modelling and estimating the potential output and output gap emerges in order to assess the quality and sustainability of economic growth, the monetary and fiscal policies, as well as the impact of business cycles....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206957
Article seeks to extend the Standard Gordon's " Triangle " model with demand shocks. The demand shocks are represented by a newly derived Current discount indicator (CDI). The recession on the labour market in Hungary and Poland was influenced by the growth of future consumption preferences of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011207342
, phenomena, and history. Given the key role that the Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) has in the …, identifying methodological strengths and the weaknesses in the body of the macroeconomic research about the concept of NAIRU. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371888
This study investigates the impact of the current financial crisis on Canada's potential GDP growth. Using a simple accounting framework to decompose trend GDP growth into changes in capital, labor services and total factor productivity, we find a sizeable drop in Canadian potential growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561074
The relationship between inflation and unemployment was first introduced in 1958 by Phillips who found a negative relationship between unemployment and money wage growth in the UK. However, this relationship appeared to become unstable in many countries over the 1970s. This paper investigates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010691734
La adopción de regímenes de metas de inflación en los últimos años por parte de un buen número de países en ALC, entre otros, ha dado un fuerte impulso a las tareas de investigación, centrado principalmente en mejorar la modelación del funcionamiento de la economía para lograr un...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010696426
We estimate the quantitative importance of labour market institutions for equilibrium unemployment in OECD. The empirical equation for unemployment is based on the solution of a dynamic macroeconomic model where wages and prices are jointly determined with unemployment. Compared to existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010785524
NAIRU approach, claims to provide an explanation of equilibrium unemployment based on labour market supply factors. After … showing the weak operational content of the modern NAIRU approach, this paper emphasises the theoretical distance between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010786836