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income inequality and inflation. The model''s key features are unequal access to both inflation-hedging opportunities and the … for inflation. The paper''s empirical section focuses on this predicted interaction effect. The identification strategy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401876
The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a key source of forecasts of global economic conditions. It is therefore important to review the performance of these forecasts against both actual outcomes and alternative forecasts. This paper conducts a series of statistical tests to evaluate the quality of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401878
inflation. The results also suggest that a disequilibrium in the money market has a lasting impact on inflation. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401879
This paper aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical … effects using frequency domain techniques. Most empirical studies of inflation dynamics do not distinguish between secular and …) and new Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) models of inflation, and conclude that the long-run secular decline in inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401975
When faced with a relative price shock, monetary authorities often aim to contain its second round effects on inflation … while accepting first round effects. We analyze the experience of South Africa and other inflation targeters to explore … whether and when this policy prescription implies changing the monetary policy stance. Inflation targeting central banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401982
Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding … inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation reports, we provide a new … methodology for the empirical evaluation of consistency in central bank communication. We find that the three communication tools-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401995
Central bank financial strength is positively associated with good policy performance. Financially weak central banks generate losses which undermine macroeconomic stability and call into question the credibility of their policies. In assessing central bank financial strength a careful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402002
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