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This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane yielding the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538850
This paper investigates within a SVAR framework the effects of anticipated monetary policy in the euro area. Building on a procedure recently proposed by Cochrane which yields the response of output to an anticipated monetary policy impulse, we show that in the past twenty years anticipated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476356
. We also show that under our assumptions special care is needed to ensure the asymptotic validity of Bayesian methods of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431276
In this paper we model the dynamics of 100 years long monthly price series of eight non-ferrous and precious metals. Applying the state space framework we impose and identify two common factors related to non-ferrous and precious metals, respectively, which exhibit quite distinct autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427812
to ensure the asymptotic validity of Bayesian methods of inference. A simulation study suggests that the frequentist and … Bayesian point and interval estimators we propose are reasonably accurate in finite samples. We also show that using these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010435454
The Swedish economy is strongly dependent on global economic developments, which is re‡ected in generally strong empirical relationships between Swedish and foreign macroeconomic variables. It is, however, diffi cult for standard open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497743
In this paper we model the dynamics of 100 years long monthly price series of eight non-ferrous and precious metals. Applying the state space framework we impose and identify two common factors related to non-ferrous and precious metals, respectively, which exhibit quite distinct autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010433963
Previous studies have shown that linear models are incapable of capturing business cycle dynamics with accuracy. This has brought interest in non-linear models such as the Markov switching (MS) regime technique, which can distinguish business cycle recession and expansion phases, and is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730543
Spanish Abstract: Esta investigación evalúa el poder predictivo de una familia de modelos GARCH usados en la predicción de la volatilidad de los rendimientos de la Mezcla Mexicana de Exportación durante el periodo del 2 de enero de 1989 al 30 de diciembre de 2011. Los resultados empíricos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022728
The Swedish economy is strongly dependent on global economic developments, which is re ected in generally strong empirical relationships between Swedish and foreign macroeconomic variables. It is, however, diffi cult for standard open-economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012240452