Showing 51 - 60 of 5,154
Purportedly consistent with “risk parity” (RP) asset allocation, recent studies document compelling “low risk” trading strategies that exploit a persistently negative relation between Sharpe ratios (SRs) and maturity along the U.S. Treasury (UST) term structure. This paper extends this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013005284
This paper examines estimates of the term premium on federal funds futures rates, with a focus on near-dated contracts and therefore the more immediate policy horizon. The first set of methods assumes that the term premium is constant over time. Under this framework, calculations that use survey...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739625
This study pursues two addenda to the practitioner and academic literature on the effect of monetary policy on asset prices. First, this paper applies cointegration theory and, second, relaxes the stringent assumption in the literature that changes in 10-year Treasury yields, stock returns, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739862
Several empirical studies report violations of the asset-pricing model of Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Black (1972). But, there is no consensus on specification in this literature, as such studies typically consider only a limited number of explanatory variables and do not satisfactorily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740348
The skew, irrespective of the mean and variance, of investors' interest rate expectations may affect required bond yields over expected short rates. Indeed, evidence suggests that the near-term skew of the option-implied distribution of short-term interest rates correlates with distant-horizon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868620
Affine term structure models in which the short rate follows a jump-diffusion process are difficult to solve, and the parameters of such models are hard to estimate. Without analytical answers to the partial difference differential equation (PDDE) for bond prices implied by jump-diffusion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012734810
This paper decomposes nominal Treasury yields into expected real rates, expected inflation rates, real risk premiums, and inflation risk premiums by separately calibrating a three-factor affine term structure model to the nominal Treasury and TIPS yield curves. Although this particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732467
This paper examines the first three moments of investors' expectations for the housing sector. That is, first, what do financial markets imply about expected future home prices? Second, how much confidence do investors have in their forecast? And, third, do market participants see more downside...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732480
The skew, irrespective of the mean and variance, of investors' interest rate expectations may affect required bond yields over expected short rates. Indeed, evidence suggests that the near-term skew of the option-implied distribution of expected short-term interest rates correlates with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012706115
The literature on momentum is vast. No previous study, however, has examined trading rules along government bond term structures. Under index-duration-neutral and long-only constraints and with low trading costs, an equally weighted average strategy across 20 look-back windows produces an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868616