Stress testing a bank loan portfolio by estimating potential losses in a severe economic scenario provides a useful way of evaluating the risks that lenders face. This article describes a model that the Reserve Bank has constructed to analyse the risks facing banks that are lending to New...

We identify the timing of currency, banking crises and sudden stops in New Zealand from 1880 to 2008 using methodologies from the international literature and consider the extent to which the empirical models in that literature can explain New Zealand's crisis history. We find that the...

New Zealand has accumulated substantial liabilities against the rest of the world reflecting persistent current account deficits over the past 30 years. International evidence suggests that when international creditors become unwilling to continue to fund a country’s external liabilities (a...

This paper investigates and compares the dynamic properties of the New Zealand Treasury model (NZTM) and the current version of the Reserve Bank's Forecasting and Policy System model (FPS). The main use of both two models is to produce macroeconomic forecasts. The NZTM model produces forecasts...

Prasanna Gai is a Professor at the Australian National University and a consultant to the Bank of England, where he haspreviously worked on financial stability matters. Prasanna visited the Reserve Bank early in 2009. In this interview, he talks about the current financial crisis and the...

If exchange rate risk were a major impediment to trade, a currency union with one or more of our trading partners could facilitate trade with those partners. However, it is often suggested that exchange rate risk should not impede trade, because firms can manage the effect of exchange rate...

This article takes a detailed look at the factors influencing New Zealand's current account deficit, and its potential ramifications.

This paper investigates and compares the dynamic properties of the New Zealand Treasury model (NZTM) and the current version of the Reserve Bank’s Forecasting and Policy System model (FPS). The main use of both two models is to produce macroeconomic forecasts. The NZTM model produces forecasts...

This article presents the results from the November 1994 Reserve Bank of New Zealand Survey of Expectations.

This article is a brief summary of a lecture delivered on 19 June at Victoria University in Wellington by Professor Ken West. Professor West was a visiting professor under the Professional Fellowship programme sponsored by the Reserve Bank.