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Using results from the literature on H-control, this paper incorporates model uncertainty into Whiteman's (1986) frequency domain approach to stabilization policy. The derived policies guarantee a minimum performance level even in the worst of (a bounded set of) circumstances. ; For a given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702139
Evolutionary programming is a stochastic optimization procedure that has proved useful in optimizing difficult functions. This paper shows that evolutionary programming can be used to solve the Bellman equation problem with a high degree of accuracy and substantially less CPU time than Bellman...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005729048
Over the past decade, a substantial literature on the estimation of discrete choice dynamic programming (DC-DP) models of behavior has developed. However, this literature now faces major computational barriers. Specifically, in order to solve the dynamic programming (DP) problems that generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712349
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005526368
This article investigates the use of genetic programming to forecast out-of-sample daily volatility in the foreign exchange market. Forecasting performance is evaluated relative to GARCH(1,1) and RiskMetrics models for two currencies, DEM and JPY. Although the GARCH/RiskMetrics models appear to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352971
Computers are deterministic devices, and a computer-generated random number is a contradiction in terms. As a result, computer-generated pseudorandom numbers are fraught with peril for the unwary. We summarize much that is known about the most well-known pseudorandom number generators:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005514588
Computers are deterministic devices, and a computer-generated random number is a contradiction in terms. As a result, computer-generated pseudorandom numbers are fraught with peril for the unwary. We summarize much that is known about the most well-known pseudorandom number generators:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397453
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005078360
Using genetic programming techniques to find technical trading rules, we find strong evidence of economically significant out-of-sample excess returns to those rules for each of six exchange rates, over the period 1981-1995. Further, when the dollar/deutschemark rules are allowed to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707790
This note shows that basic theorems of dynamic programming hold when the return function is homogeneous of degree theta <= 1.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712963