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Does the yield spread predict recessions in the euro area?
Moneta, Fabio - European Central Bank - 2003
This paper studies the informational content of the slope of the yield curve as a predictor of recessions in the euro … outperforms all the other spreads in predicting recessions in the euro area. The result is con¯rmed when the au …-month interest rates is explored in an exercise of out-of-sample forecasting. This yield spread appears to contain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222319
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Forecasting cyclical turning points: the record in the past three recessions
McNees, Stephen K. - In: New England Economic Review (1987) Mar, pp. 31-40
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428475
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Predicting Growth Rates and Recessions. Assessing U.S. Leading Indicators Under Real-Time Conditions
Dovern, Jonas; Ziegler, Christina - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2008
forecasting exercises. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566178
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Forecasting U.S. recessions using over 150 years of data : stock-market moments versus oil-market moments
Bouri, Elie; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian; … - 2024
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635879
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Recession probabilities falling from the STARs
Eraslan, Sercan; Nöller, Marvin - 2020
comprehensive real-time forecasting exercise for recessions in the US. Moreover, we propose a novel smooth transition modelling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179657
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Overview of the Great Recession in the Chippewa Valley, Wisconsin and the US
Block, Sam; Christensen, Drew; Ross, April; Wieseman, … - 2010
Color poster with text, images, and graphs.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009460833
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Financial reform in Thailand
Asvananda, Thanyathamrong - University of Western Sydney; College of Law and Business; … - 2001
It is observed through out the world that the financial crisis took Asian countries by storm. Living conditions in my homeland, Thailand, dropped dramatically. Income decreased, the prices of essential goods increased, the stock market collapsed, loans turned to bad debts, businesses closed down...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009482024
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Paul Volcker talks about the economic crisis
Volcker, Paul A. - 2009
Includes descriptive metadata provided by producer in QuickTime movie file: "Politics, Economics and Social Issues - Video - Paul Volcker talks about the economic crisis." By Vanderbilt University. Paul A. Volcker, senior economic advisor to President Obama and former chairman of the Federal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009431143
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Lowering the bar? : external conditions, opportunity costs, and high-tech start-up outcomes
Conti, Annamaria; Roche, Maria P. - In: Organization science : a journal of the Institute for … 32 (2021) 4, pp. 965-986
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012623545
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Disease, downturns, and wellbeing : Economic history and the long-run impacts of COVID-19
Arthi, Vellore; Parman, John - In: Explorations in economic history : EEH 79 (2021)
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698865