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Projected demographic changes in industrialized countries will reduce the share of the workingage population. Analyses based on standard OLG models predict that these changes will increase the capital-labor ratio. Hence, rates of return to capital decrease and wages increase, which has adverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603535
Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010652434
Summary Impact of opening full labour market access to Bulgarians and Romanians as of 1 January 2014 the case of Austria The study analyses the migration potential and the impact on Austria’s economy that is to be expected after the lifting of access restrictions for Bulgarian and Romanian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820232
Projected demographic changes in the U.S. will reduce the share of the working-age population. Analyses based on standard OLG models predict that these changes will increase the capital-labor ratio. Hence, rates of return to capital decrease and wages increase, which has adverse welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009193226
In this paper we estimate the benefit for the ageing North countries of diversifying some of their trade away from other North countries in favour of South countries. To this end we use a six-region overlapping generations model that takes into account the demographic trends of the 21st century...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048954
Projected demographic changes in industrialized and developing countries vary in extent and timing but will reduce the share of the population in working age everywhere. Conventional wisdom suggests that this will increase capital intensity with falling rates of return to capital and increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011127946
The aim and scope of this paper is to isolate the effects of population ageing in the context of potential Scottish independence. Fiscal challenges are often quoted as a strong argument against independence. Demographic processes play an important role in determining future economic growth via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011075932
This paper uses an OLG-CGE model for the UK to illustrate the long-term effect of migration on the economy. We use the current Conservative Party migration target to reduce net migration “from hundreds of thousands to tens of thousands†as an illustration. Achieving this target would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011135917
countering potentially negative economic effects of population ageing by a fertility increase or immigration of people at the … working age. Of course, changing fertility and immigration are both suited to reduce population ageing. But they influence the … years is higher without immigration. Instead, when a consumer faces a life expectancy higher than 50 years or will be born …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985059
rising fertility or permanent immigration. The simulation results illustrate that in the medium and in the long terms per … capita consumption is among all demographic scenarios lower than without demographic changes. Permanent immigration can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985064