What share of asset price movements is driven by news? We build a large, time-stamped event database covering scheduled macro news as well as unscheduled events. We find that news account for about 50% of all bond and stock price movements in the United States and euro area since 2002,...

We decipher monetary policy shocks by directly connecting them to the stance a central bank expresses in its communication about different topics. To measure topic-specific central bank stances, we apply textual analysis techniques to press conference statements of the European Central Bank...

We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion of currency value because a high valuation level...

We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion of currency value because a high valuation level...

What share of asset price movements is driven by news? We attempt to answer this question by building a large, time-stamped event database covering scheduled macroeconomic data releases, central bank announcements, bond auctions, as well as unscheduled news such as election results, sovereign...

This paper describes and analyzes quot;automated interventionquot; of a target zone. Unusually detailed information about the order book allows studying intervention effects in a microstructure approach. We find in our sample that intervention increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for...

We investigate the relation between global foreign exchange (FX) volatility risk and the cross-section of excess returns arising from popular strategies that borrow in low-interest rate currencies and invest in high-interest rate currencies, so-called 'carry trades'. We find that high interest...