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In this paper, we use the death file from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to investigate the relationship between county-level unemployment rates and mortality risk. After partialling out important confounding factors including baseline health status as well as state, industry and occupation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561732
The authors study the responses to several questions related to real estate that were added to the Michigan Survey of Consumers in July and August 2011. In particular, they asked about attitudes toward renting versus buying a home, about commuting, and about how much to spend on a mortgage. By...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010562437
This paper examines trends in household consumption and saving behaviour in each of the last three recessions in the UK … durable expenditure than was seen in previous recessions, and the distributional pattern across individuals differs. The young …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010567021
Recent research has documented that the Federal Reserve produces systematic errors in forecasting inflation, real GDP growth, and the unemployment rate, even though these forecasts are unbiased. We show that these systematic errors reveal that the Fed is “surprised” by real and inflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008641987
consistently movements in the curve have signaled past recessions, considerably less attention has been paid to the use of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387216
This article examines the performance of various financial variables as predictors of U.S. recessions. Series such as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387294
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005726909
This Paper proposes a model of business cycles in which recessions and booms arise as the result of difficulties … such a model can explain the observed pattern of US recessions (frequency, depth) without relying on technological regress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792481
high. Although fertility is lower during recessions, the effect on health is not the result of selection (healthier mothers … channels. Fertility-age women do not appear to engage in significantly healthier behaviors during recessions (in terms of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010896612