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Presentation to the Sonoma County Economic Development Board, Rohnert Park, California, June 28, 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702121
During the recent U.S. financial crisis, the large decline in economic activity and credit was accompanied by a large increase in the dispersion of growth rates across firms. However, even though aggregate labor and output fell sharply during this period, labor productivity did not. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702250
) and financial shocks to households generate recessions. The model features three mild departures from the standard model … expenditures increase measured productivity. These departures provide a novel quantitative theory to explain recessions like those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702252
sense of wealth destruction) generate recessions. Two standard ingredients that are necessary are (1) the existence of …, quantitative theory of the current recessions in southern Europe. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702254
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008456143
This article examines the origins, scope, and sectoral profile of the recent New York City recession. In addition, the authors document the buildup of imbalances in the economy before the downturn and discuss the extent to which these imbalances have been alleviated.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008456417
This article compares the 1990-91 recession and the surrounding period of unusually sluggish growth with earlier recessionary episodes. Using a variety of indicators, the author assesses the relative severity of the latest recession and identifies features that distinguish this period from its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008456422
Since Bernanke, Gertler and Watson (1997), a common view in the literature has been that systematic monetary policy responses to the inflation triggered by oil price shocks are an important source of aggregate fluctuations in the U.S. economy. We show that there is no evidence of systematic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008458291
recessions. Since the agreement on the "Stability and Growth Pact" by the European Council in Dublin in December 1996, interest … stage three of EMU, singles out severe recessions as specifically problematical periods during which a certain budgetary … evaluate past budgetary behaviour during recessions in the fifteen European Union Member States. More specifically, the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459165
An unstable economic environment has rekindled talk of a double-dip recession. The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index provides data for predicting the probability of a recession but is limited by the weight assigned to its indicators and the varying efficacy of those indicators over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008461908