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considered as a leading indicator of real growth or recessions in Tunisian context, and consequently may be useful for both to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374962
En este artículo usamos la evidencia empírica más reciente disponible para predecir el impacto del shock del Covid-19 en la tasa de entrada de empresas, en especial en la entrada de empresas de alto crecimiento, y en sus implicaciones en la creación de empleo a corto y a largo plazo. El...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012525351
comprehensive real-time forecasting exercise for recessions in the US. Moreover, we propose a novel smooth transition modelling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180928
We present real time survey evidence from the UK, US and Germany showing that the labor market impacts of COVID-19 differ considerably across countries. Employees in Germany, which has a well-established short-time work scheme, are substantially less likely to be affected by the crisis. Within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207864
We present real time survey evidence from the UK, US and Germany showing that the labor market impacts of COVID-19 differ considerably across countries. Employees in Germany, which has a well-established short-time work scheme, are substantially less likely to be affected by the crisis. Within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214176
A well-established result in the literature is that Social Security reduces steady state welfare in a standard life cycle model. However, less is known about the historical quantitative effects of the program on agents who were alive when the program was adopted. In a computational life cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012215400
The ability of the term structure (specifically the term spread, or the difference between the long and short ends of the yield curve) to predict economic activity is empirically well-established for the US, but less so for small open economies. The literature emphasizes the role of monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012220374
Recent evidence for the U.S. suggests that recessions play a crucial role in promoting automation and the reallocation … technology revolution, fully all of the Canadian decline in routine job employment occurred during the three recessions. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012245091
Although the adverse labor market effects of economic recessions have been well documented, a notable omission in the … literature is how recessions impact workers’ job match quality. This paper considers the short and longer-term losses in … productivity associated with the job changing brought in train by the two most recent recessions. Changes in match quality are the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269460
employer discrimination. In the presence of market frictions, however, recessions create excess labor supply and thus generate … recessions? We focus on age discrimination and test this hypothesis in two ways. We first use employee discrimination charges …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269521