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Forecasting private consumption by consumer surveys
Dreger, Christian; Kholodilin, Konstantin - 2010
, especially for the future path of private consumption. Although they receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285747
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Forecasting Private Consumption by Consumer Surveys
Dreger, Christian; Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2010
, especially for the future path of private consumption. Although they receive high attention in the media, their forecasting power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671250
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The international dimension of confidence shocks
Dées, Stéphane; Güntner, Jochen - 2014
consumption and real GDP. In line with BNW, we find that confidence shocks explain a large share of the variance in real economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368265
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The international dimension of confidence shocks
Dées, Stéphane; Güntner, Jochen - 2014
consumption and real GDP. In line with BNW, we find that confidence shocks explain a large share of the variance in real economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605714
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The international dimension of confidence shocks
Dées, Stéphane; Güntner, Jochen - 2014
consumption and real GDP. In line with BNW, we find that confidence shocks explain a large share of the variance in real economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354540
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The International Dimension of Confidence Shocks
Güntner, Jochen; Dées, Stéphane - Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, … - 2014
consumption and real GDP. In line with BNW, we find that confidence shocks explain a large share of the variance in real economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765630
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Economic Sentiment in Europe: Disentangling Private Information from Public Knowledge
Lindner, Axel; Heinisch, Katja - 2019
This paper addresses a general problem with surveys asking agents for their assessment of the state of the economy: answers are highly dependent on information that is publicly available, while only information that is not already publicly known has the potential to improve a professional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099063
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Economic sentiment in Europe : disentangling private information from public knowledge
Heinisch, Katja; Lindner, Axel - 2019
This paper addresses a general problem with surveys asking agents for their assessment of the state of the economy: answers are highly dependent on information that is publicly available, while only information that is not already publicly known has the potential to improve a professional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232123
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The KOF Economic Barometer, version 2014: A composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle
Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - 2014
This paper presents a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle corresponding to the growth rate cycle concept. It is the result of a complete overhaul of the KOF Economic Barometer that has been published by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute on a monthly basis since 1976. In line...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420563
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The Global Economic Barometers: Composite indicators for the world economy
Abberger, Klaus; Graff, Michael; Campelo, Aloisio; … - 2020
This paper presents a coincident and a leading composite monthly indicator for the world business cycle - the Global Economic Barometers. Both target the world's output growth rate cycle. The calculation of these indicators comprises two main stages. The first consists of a variable selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546026