This paper examines the ability of equity open interests from options markets to forecast underlying stock price for the maturity date and to examine if the forecast prices can be used as a guide to design trading rules. GMM estimation method is used on a set of widely held stocks from US...

I develop methods that produce consistent estimates of the Vasicek-Basel IRB (VAIRB) credit risk model parameters. I apply these methods to Moody's data on corporate defaults over the period 1920–2008 and assess the model fit and construct hypothesis tests using bootstrap methods. The results...

The performance of dynamic trading and investment strategies can be difficult to predict. Although not without its problems, analysis of the historical performance of a strategy can provide valuable insight into its general risk and return properties. Furthermore, historical analysis allows one...

The proliferation of factor investing strategies in recent years has highlighted the idea that a portfolio can harvest improved risk-adjusted returns through timed exposure to risk factors during times of elevated risk premia. While there is a large body of research on such risk factors and risk...

This study analyses the performance of real estate mutual funds for 1993 through 2001 period. The results indicate that real estate mutual funds do not provide positive abnormal performance on average. Fund performance to a large extent is determined by the performance of the real estate sector...

The diversification benefit provided by real estate investment trusts (REITs) is of great importance to investors, practitioners and academics. This benefit critically relies on the correlation properties between REIT returns and the factors used to explain REIT returns. Recent studies have...

This study examines the performance of acquisitions in the Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) industry around the acquisition announcement and in the long-run. The results suggest that the acquiring REITs experience statistically significant negative abnormal returns while the target REITs earn...

It is now an accepted fact that the majority of financial markets worldwide are neither normal nor constant, and South Africa is no exception. One idea that can be used to understand such markets and has been gaining popularity recently is that of regimes and regime-switching models. In this...

Equipped with financial market data labeled with DTW and Pattern Rule label showing the likelihood of corresponding sequences as specific financial pattern, a financial pattern prediction model can be developed by training the labeled data, to predict the probability of pattern formation in the...