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Growth rate of real GDP per capita is represented as a sum of two components – a monotonically decreasing economic … trend and fluctuations related to a specific age population change. The economic trend is modeled by an inverse function of … real GDP per capita with a numerator potentially constant for the largest developed economies. Statistical analysis of 19 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835493
Joining the European Union big opportunities in the international markets have opened for Latvia. Paper purpose is to investigate influence of international integration processes on development of economy of Latvia. Latvia's incoming in EU increased the amount of received means from structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367975
, with particular emphasis on his estimates of population, real GDP, and real GDP per capita for very long periods, going …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005518964
We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA … model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand …; 4) small structural model that links GDP components to a small set of explanatory variables; 5) static factor model that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011623268
We propose a new tool to filter non-linear dynamic models that does not require the researcher to specify the model fully and can be implemented without solving the model. If two conditions are satisfied, we can use a flexible statistical model and a known measurement equation to back out the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635717
The Japanese economic behavior is modeled. GDP evolution is represented as a sum two components: economic tend and … fluctuations. The trend is an inverse function of GDP per capita with a constant numerator. The growth rate fluctuations are … separately. Using the models, GDP per capita is predicted for the next ten years and recommendations are given to overcome …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623454
Economic growth in the 19th and 20th centuries, following the Industrial Revolutions, was much faster than in preceding centuries. This unprecedented global growth coincided with the global proliferation of democracy, with some evidence for bidirectional causation. Macroeconomic forecasts have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245417
The world economy is becoming increasingly integrated. Integrating emerging economies of Asia, such as China and India increase competition on the world stage, putting pressure on the "actors" already existing. These developments have raised questions about the effectiveness of European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010640501
Union over the period 2000-2019 using a Panel ARDL/PMG model. In this respect, I have used GDP per capita expressed in PPS … study confirms a positive impact of greenhouse gas emissions (per capita) on GDP (per capita) on short-run, but also a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013429073
The international financial crisis has led to a number of effects on the Romanian economy. Altough there had not been reported any direct consequences on the banking system, indirect effects on the economy were felt in full. In this context, the present paper, aims at highlighting numerous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067019