Beaulieu, Marie-Claude; Dufour, Jean-Marie; Khalaf, Lynda; … - Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des … - 2011
We test for the presence of time-varying parameters (TVP) in the long-run dynamics of energy prices for oil, natural gas and coal, within a standard class of mean-reverting models. We also propose residual-based diagnostic tests and examine out-of-sample forecasts. In-sample LR tests support the...