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The federal funds futures rate naturally embodies the market's expectation of the average behavior of the federal funds rate. But, as John C. Robertson and Daniel L. Thornton explain, analysts cannot attempt to identify Fed policy from the behavior of the federal funds futures rate without...
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This analysis examines how expectations of market participants about future Federal Open Market Committee policy actions have changed over the period since 1989, during which the FOMC made a sequence of changes to improve the transparency of monetary policy.
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