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We apply Diebold-Yilmaz spillover index methodology to monthly industrial production indices to study business cycle interdependence among G-6 industrialized countries since 1958. The business cycle spillover index fluctuates substantially over time, increasing especially after the 1973-75,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277269
Empirical and theoretical studies suggest that employment behaviour varies with the state of the labour market since hiring and firings costs depend on the availability of labour. Extending earlier empirical work on this subject, we test for state dependence in employment adjustment and in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284449
-ins for monetary union with respect to Germany. Using tests for cointegration and common features for monthly data during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285355
The concept of cointegration (see e.g., Engle and Granger, 1987; Johansen, 1988) has extensively been used to model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285865
Beaudry and Portier (2006) provide support for the "news view" of the business cycle, using a vector error correction model. We show that this result hinges on a cointegrating relationship between TFP and stock prices that is not stationary, thus making the estimates not reliable. If we alter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497740
; I(2) cointegration ; multivariate time series analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002117361
The topic of this paper is the estimation uncertainty of the Stock-Watsonand Gonzalo-Granger permanent-transitory decompositions in the frameworkof the cointegrated vector-autoregression. Specifically, we suggest an approach to construct the confidence interval of the transitory component in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530402
, the adjusted data offer a weaker evidence on the cointegration relationship between a) the sectoral output indexes, b …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398919
This paper investigates the nature of the output-employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period from 1988 to 2008. Even though we fail to find a long-run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long-run relationships for the aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750349
This paper investigates the nature of the output-employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period 1988-2008. Even if we fail to find a long-run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long-run relationships for the aggregate output with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010125833