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We analyze with panel SVECM the impact of real wage, productivity, labor demand and supply shocks on the eight CEE economies during 1996-2007. We use a set of long-run restrictions, derived from the DSGE model with explicitly modeled labor market, to identify these structural shocks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171794
This paper studies business cycle interdependence among the industrialized countries since 1958. Using the spillover index methodology recently proposed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2009) and based on the generalized VAR framework, I develop an alternative measure of comovement of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083760
Applied cointegration analysis has much to gain from strong links with economic theory. For example, the current … important information about the economic structure can be found in the short-run dynamics, which most cointegration studies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661938
This paper examines the impact of global liquidity on global commodity prices and asset prices in some major developing and developed economies. Specifically, the global liquidity on global commodity prices and asset prices is investigated using data from six major developing and emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047800
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013261029
The topic of this paper is the estimation uncertainty of the Stock-Watson and Gonzalo-Granger permanent-transitory decompositions in the framework of the co-integrated vector autoregression. We suggest an approach to construct the confidence interval of the transitory component estimate in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010489880
The purpose of this paper is the determination of sources and pattern of business cycle in Turkey throughout the period 1988-2002 using quarterly data. The question of the paper is "Has financial liberalization increased the fragility of the financial and real sides of the Turkish economy?". The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529029
assume that transition probabilities between expansion and recession regimes are driven by the cointegration errors. Our … findings suggest that lagged cointegration errors have predictive power for regime shifts and these movements between business …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929697
This paper investigates the demand for broad money in Venezuela, over a period of financial crisis and substantial exchange rate fluctuations. The analysis shows that there exist a long run relationship between real money, real income, inflation, the exchange rate and the domestic interest rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284393
This paper discusses the macroeconomics of NFA at the Euro Area level. A stylized theoretical model of an open economy, with portfolio choices, and the cointegrated VAR methodology applied to a system including: the real effective exchange rate, domestic and world real GDP per-capita, domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014070609