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inflation model, when used to explain inflation persistence. Indeed, virtually all inflationary dynamics end up being captured … model (i.e. lagged inflation) and that the SPI model overemphasizes inflationary persistence. Thus, there appears to be room …" inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052485
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, ?(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … in previous study holds together with statistical estimates of goodness-of-fit and RMSFE. Relationships between inflation … relationships between the studied variables demonstrates the superiority of the latter. The cumulative inflation curve or inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053159
Previously, a linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force change rate, π(t)= A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1 … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models … relation between macroeconomic and population variables, to a practical one - an accurate out-of-sample inflation forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053528
Inflation in the USA for the period between 1960 and 2004 is studied in the framework of evident rigidity of personal … income distribution normalized to the total nominal GDP. Inflation is found to be a mechanism, which counters changes in the … linking the measured inflation (consumer price index or GDP deflator), unemployment and change in labor force. During the last …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059492
Our paper analyzes the effects of restrictions on capital mobility on the output-inflation trade-off. Using a … capital mobility should make the trade-off parameter smaller; that is, a given change in the inflation rate should be … output-inflation trade-off parameter are obtained from studies by Lucas (1973), Ball, Mankiw and Romer (1988) and others …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014060826
inability to generate inflation persistence. This paper finds that staggered Taylor contracts are, in fact, capable of … reproducing the inflation persistence implied by U.S. data. Following Fuhrer and Moore, I capture the moments that the contract … specification needs to replicate by using the correlograms from a small vector autoregression (VAR) that includes inflation among …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014110529
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the `90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309197
Analysis Network (PRISMA) for inflation dynamics and monetary policy, relying on calibrated models and direct empirical …. Empirical estimates of the Phillips curve during the low-inflation period confirm previous findings of a relatively flat but … setting, changes in trend inflation above 5-6% would have significant effects on the euro area Phillips curve. Similarly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316106
The purpose of this paper is to test the general validity of the NKPC previsions for the Italian manufacturing industries. In particular we are interested in estimating the extent to which the degree of nominal inertia and the fraction of backward-looking price-setters differ from industry to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014067230
Analysis Network (PRISMA) for inflation dynamics and monetary policy, relying on calibrated models and direct empirical …. Empirical estimates of the Phillips curve during the low-inflation period confirm previous findings of a relatively flat but … setting, changes in trend inflation above 5-6% would have significant effects on the euro area Phillips curve. Similarly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353271