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recurrently. The escape route dynamics cause recurrent outcomes close to the Ramsey (commitment) inflation rate in a model with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320318
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the `90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309197
, consistent with the evidence, increases with inflation. Because we assume that firms sell multiple products and choose how many … inflation accelerator--a feedback loop between inflation and the fraction of price changes--which significantly increases the … slope of the Phillips curve during periods of high inflation. Applied to the U.S. time series, our model predicts that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544808
sharp rise in inflation. Applied to Germany and the euro area, the model suggests that the surge in inflation has mainly … been caused by commodity price shocks and supply bottlenecks, rather than shortages in the labour market. Inflation … future inflation rates. However, this prediction is based on the assumption that there will be no commodity price shocks and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519212
constraints, and shocks to them, shape inflation. We show that binding constraints for domestic and foreign producers shift … recent US data, we find that binding constraints explain half of the increase in inflation during 2021-2022. In particular …, tight capacity served to amplify the impact of loose monetary policy in 2021, fueling the inflation takeoff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250196
inflation in the 2020s. Economic slack is measured as firms' job vacancies over the number of unemployed workers. After showing …. Policy implications include the thesis that appropriate monetary policy can bring inflation down without a significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250214
Analysis Network (PRISMA) for inflation dynamics and monetary policy, relying on calibrated models and direct empirical …. Empirical estimates of the Phillips curve during the low-inflation period confirm previous findings of a relatively flat but … setting, changes in trend inflation above 5-6% would have significant effects on the euro area Phillips curve. Similarly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316106
This paper investigates the impact of inflation in different states of unemployment: evidence with the Phillips curve … in South Africa. The contribution of this paper is to examine the impact of inflation on different states of unemployment …% increase in inflation results in a 2.61% increase and a 0.06% decrease in unemployment, respectively. There are times when the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257094
An apparent disconnect has taken place between inflation and economic activity in the US over the last 25 years, with … price inflation remaining remarkably stable in spite of large fluctuations in the output gap and other measures of economic … unconditional variation in US macro data into the components driven by demand and supply disturbances, and confront the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014227888
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015357477