This discussion paper has resulted in a publication in the <I>Journal of Business and Economic Statistics<I>.<p>In this discussion paper we introduce time-varying parameters in the dynamic Nelson–Siegel yield curve model for the simultaneous analysis and forecasting of interest rates of different...</p></i></i>

This paper provides a new way of analyzing tenure profiles in wages, by modelling simultaneously the evolution of wages and the distribution of tenures. Starting point is the observation that within-job log wages for an individual can be described by random walk. We develop a theoretical model...

This discussion paper led to a publication in <A href="http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1198/jbes.2011.10070">'Journal of Business & Economic Statistics'</A>, 29(4), 552-63.<P>We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model adopts...</p></a>

Still today Cameroon is suffering from a shy landscape of entrepreneurship and a private sector constituted at 90% by SMEs confronted to a lack of funding; The situation tends to increase with the advent of financial crisis. It is in this framework that this study tries to make an identification...

This paper focuses on the impact of China’s export expansion on Malaysian monthly trading with to her 12 major trading partners over the liberalization era. Structural break(s) found mostly coincides with the Asia financial crisis and China’s accession into WTO and, regime shifts are evident...

The paper empirically analyzes stock market integration and the benefit possibilities of international portfolio diversification across the Southeast Asia (ASEAN) and U.S. equity markets. It employs daily sample of 6 ASEAN equity market indices and S&P 500 index as a proxy of U.S. market index...

This paper is an up-to-date survey of the state-of-the-art in dynamical systems theory relevant to high levels of dynamical complexity, characterizing chaos and near chaos, as commonly found in the physical sciences. The paper also surveys applications in economics and �finance. This survey...

This paper continues consideration of computer simulation of a bank branch by means of GPSS World and structural-morphological analysis. In a previous work the bank is modeled by a set of queuing systems. Following the first article in this part we report on the development of a simulation model...

Homogenization destroys biologic structures and social organizations or companies. Sometimes structure und sometimes mixing yields the highest productivity. Why and when will destruction be creative? We theoretically demonstrate in a simple enzyme ensemble of source and sink superadditivity and...

The article analyses an approach to construction of the mathematical model for the commercial banking industry based upon set theory, abstract algebra, and computational linguistics.