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Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?

Clements, Michael P. - 2011

We present a novel approach to assessing the attentiveness of professional forecasters to news about the macroeconomy. We find evidence that professional forecasters, taken as a group, do not always update their estimates of the current state of the economy to reflect the latest releases of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008822980

Internal consistency of survey respondents' forecasts : evidence based on the survey of professional forecasters

Clements, Michael P. (contributor) - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003386891

Comments on "Forecasting economic and financial variables with global VARs"

Clements, Michael P. - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 4, pp. 680-683

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003921259

Internal consistency of survey respondents' forecasts : evidence based on the survey of professional forecasters

Clements, Michael P. - In: The methodology and practice of econometrics : a …, (pp. 206-226). 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857843

Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents’ forecasts

Clements, Michael P. - In: European economic review : EER 54 (2010) 4, pp. 536-549

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008657304

Probability distributions or point predictions? : survey forecasts of US output growth and inflation

Clements, Michael P. - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009502370

Forecasting US output growth with non-linear models in the presence of data uncertainty

Clements, Michael P. - In: Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics : SNDE ; … 16 (2012) 1, pp. 1-25

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521680

An empirical investigation of the effects of rounding on the SPF probabilities of decline and output growth histograms

Clements, Michael P. - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 43 (2011) 1, pp. 207-220

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009238819

Forecasters' disagreement about how the economy operates, and the role of long-run relationships

Clements, Michael P. - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389792

Do US macroeconomic forecasters exaggerate their differences?

Clements, Michael P. - In: Journal of forecasting 34 (2015) 8, pp. 649-660

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011397639

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