In the Summer and Fall 2008 issues of Foresight, Randall Jones and Alfred Cuzan described 13 regression models used to forecast presidential elections and reported the models' forecasts for the 2008 US presidential election. Here is their audit of the results. Copyright International Institute...

At PoliticalForecasting.com, better known as the Pollyvote, the authors combine forecasts from four sources: election polls, a panel of American political experts, the Iowa Electronic Market, and quantitative models. The day before the election, Polly predicted that the Republican ticket's share...