We construct a multi-agent system (MAS) model of cyclical growth in which aggregate fluctuations result from variations in activity at firm level. The latter, in turn, result from changes in “animal spirits” or the state of long run expectations (SOLE) and their effect on firms’ investment...

We construct a multi-agent system (MAS) model of cyclical growth in which aggregate fluctuations result from variations in activity at firm level. The latter, in turn, result from changes in the state of long run expectations (SOLE) or “animal spirits” and their effect on firms’ investment...

We provide Bayesian estimates of an empirical model of consumer price inflation for Turkey based on the hybrid New Keynesian Phillips Curve. We decompose real marginal costs into domestic and foreign components and focus particularly on identifying the effect of the domestic component. We find...

A New Keynesian DSGE model with non-Ricardian households is estimated for the Portuguese economy and the stability of the model’s prediction (posterior distributions, impulse responses, and sources of fluctuations in endogenous variables) tested under different assumptions on non-Ricardian...

The purpose of this study is to explain the concept and the kind of asymmetric business cycle and to examine the kind of the asymmetry for Turkish economy at the period of 1960-2006. For this purpose, firstly the cycle component of real GNP has been obtained by using Hodrick-Presscot Filter and...

In this paper, a New-Keynesian DSGE model for a small open economy integrated in a monetary union is developed and estimated for the Portuguese economy, using a Bayesian approach. Estimates for some key structural parameters are obtained and a set of exercises exploring the model's empirical...

This paper analyses the 1980s Latin American debt crisis in Argentina, Brazil and Mexico and, in particular, the influence of cumulative processes at work in its early and final stages. The paper is organised in three sections. The first examines the crisis<92> features in the three countries, and...</92>

This paper presents a model of a monetary production economy with non-Walrasian good, labor and money markets. In the non-Walrasian approach, transactions occur at non clearing prices and agents's demand and supply are affected by quantity constraints in the opposite side of the market. The...

While DSGE models have been widely used by central banks for policy analysis, they seem to have been ineffective in calibrating the models for anticipating financial crises. To bring DSGE models closer to real situations, some of researchers have revised the traditional DSGE models. One of the...

Este artigo apresenta uma extensão do modelo de flutuações cíclicas desenvolvido por Fazzari et alii (2008), realizada com a finalidade de permitir a avaliação do papel da política monetária e das bolhas especulativas no fenômeno da persistência das flutuações cíclicas nos ciclos...