Within the next decade, China’s labour force will begin to contract, while that of India will expand faster than its population. Relative labour abundance will bring higher capital returns and an increasing share of global FDI to India. Yet China may relax its One Child Policy further and...

This paper develops a dynamic model to account for the enhanced incentive effects that result from market reform in the form of a move toward private property rights and competitive market.

We study information flows between earnings and forecasts, using suitably adapted Granger causality tests. This approach complements existing cross-sectional studies by abstracting from stock market reactions to information, and focussing on dynamic interactions between information flows...

The goal of this paper is to evaluate a “couples-based” policy intervention designed to reduce the number of Australian families without work. In 2000 and 2001, the Australian Government piloted a new counseling initiative targeted towards couple-headed families with dependent children in...

In this paper, we consider the non-parametric, kernel estimate of the density, f(x), for data drawn from stratified samples. Much of the data used by social scientists is gathered in some type of complex survey violating the usual assumptions of independently and identically distributed data....

With exports almost half of its GDP and most of these directed to Europe and North America, negative financial shocks in those regions might be expected to retard China's growth. Yet mitigating factors include the temporary flight of North American and European savings into Chinese investment...

Poor developing countries, faced with high levels of covariant risk ideally should spread this risk into the international risk market. How might this best be done - given that through diversification this market will tend to gain from absorbing this risk? Conglomerates of intermediate financial...

The Review of Business Taxation chaired by Mr John Ralph has suggested sweeping changes to business taxation in Australia. In particular it has been proposed that accelerated depreciation provisions be removed to finance a reduction in the company tax rate. If some degree of accelerated...

This paper investigates the market reaction to a firm switching from a male CEO to a female CEO. We compare these firms against a four dimensional matched sample of male to male CEO appointments. Our results indicate that female CEO appointments are followed by small insignificant negative...

This paper considers the “real-time” forecast performance of the Federal Reserve staff, time-series models, and an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model – the Federal Reserve Board’s new Estimated, Dynamic, Optimization-based (Edo) model. We evaluate forecast...