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The main objective of this study is to highlight the importance of political instability, defined as frequent changes in and of government, in undermining the Russian exchange rate based stabilization program of the 1990s. The empirical evidence supports the significance of political instability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009392045
This study compares the emergence of four wireless clusters in the 1970s and 1980s. Two of them, Calgary in Canada and Finland, initially pursued rather similar service innovations for not very different markets but with very different outcomes, which raises the question why. One major reason...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364764
equilibrium outcome of a present-value model of a partial equilibrium asset approach when economic fundamentals follow exogenous … that the unit market discount factor implies the counterfactual joint equilibrium dynamics of random-walk exchange rates … exercises based on post-Bretton Woods data from Canada and the United States reveal difficulties in reconciling the equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010842011
This paper provides an empirical test of the scapegoat theory of exchange rates (Bacchetta and van Wincoop 2004, 2011). This theory suggests that market participants may at times attach significantly more weight to individual economic fundamentals to rationalize the pricing of currencies, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010643156
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We address some of the key questions that arise in forecasting the price of crude oil. What do applied forecasters need to know about the choice of sample period and about the tradeoffs between alternative oil price series and model specifications? Are real and nominal oil prices predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025541
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Existing literature has relied on economic fundamentals (EFs) to determine commodity price booms and busts, This framework has been unable to account for major economic non-fundamentals (ENFs), This study takes a broader view of major ENFs that expands beyond the traditional demand and supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307396