La adoption de la agricultura ecologica por parte de los agricultores implica un elevado grado de incertidumbre acera de la rentabilidad futura de la innovacion, lo cual hace que la implantacion de este metodo de cultivo y de explotacion agraria no sea immediata, sino un proceso de difusion...

The main objective of this paper is to develop a system that uses historical data to forecast new movie attendance. In contrast to most models in the literature that consider aggregated prediction or the demand for a cross-section of movies, this paper analyzes the dynamic behavior of attendance...

The successful introduction of new durable products plays an important part in helping companies to stay ahead of their competitors. Decisions relating to these products can be improved by the availability of reliable pre-launch forecasts of their adoption time series. However, producing such...

Influence maximization problem is about finding a small set of nodes from the social network as seed set so as to maximize the range of information diffusion. In this paper, the theory of coritivity and method of finding core nodes in networks are introduced to deal with this problem. From the...

This study examines the impact of Type I and Type II cultural differences on mobile phone adoption patterns. We use Hofstede's cultural dimensions to examine cultural differences of two countries (Type I: the U.S.; Type II: S. Korea) and employ the Bass diffusion model to delineate innovation...

We propose a method to include seasonality in any diffusion model that has a closed-form solution. The resulting diffusion model captures seasonality in a way that naturally matches the original diffusion model's pattern. The method assumes that additional sales at seasonal peaks are drawn from...

Social interaction (peer) effects are recognized as a potentially important factor in the diffusion of new products. In the case of environmentally friendly goods or technologies, both marketers and policy makers are interested in the presence of causal peer effects as social spillovers can be...

Natural gas is a finite resource that may be estimated directly, through geophysical methodologies, or indirectly, through historical production data. The rapid growth in consumption of this limited natural resource, strictly connected to the oil economy, may lead to its imminent depletion and a...

We present a survey design that generalizes static conjoint experiments to elicit inter-temporal adoption decisions for durable goods. We show that consumers’ utility and discount functions in a dynamic discrete choice model are jointly identified using data generated by this specific design....

Existing innovation diffusion models assume that individual experience with the product is always communicated positively through word-of-mouth. For certain innovations, however, this assumption is tenuous since communicators of the product experience may transfer favorable, unfavorable, or...