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Recent studies on decision analytics frequently refer to the topic of behavioral decision making (BDM), which focuses on behavioral components of decision analytics. This paper provides a critical review of literature for re-examining the relations between BDM and classical decision theories in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201174
The behavioural finance literature attributes the persistent market misvaluation observed in real data to the presence of deviations from rational thinking of the actors involved. Cognitive biases and the use of simple heuristics can be described using expected utility maximising agents that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013205388
A micro decision-making utility model under uncertainty is presented as a complementary foundation for macro coronavirus models. The micro model consists of two functions, a risk averse utility function depending on wellness and a wellness random output which is a function of the input variable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013269247
Anticipating "social risk", or risk caused by humans, affects decision-making differently from anticipating natural risk. Drawing upon a large sample of the US population (n=3,982), we show that the phenomenon generalizes to risk experience. Experiencing adverse outcomes caused by another human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013269299
Transitivity is perhaps the most fundamental choice axiom and, therefore, almost all economic models assume that preferences are transitive. The empirical literature has regularly documented violations of transitivity, but these violations pose little problem as long as they are simply a result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013285526
Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity is characterized by insufficient responsiveness to changes in subjective likelihoods. Such likelihood insensitivity under ambiguity is integral to theoretical models and predictive of behavior in many important domains such as financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330060
Does attention have a causal impact on risky decisions? We address this question in a preregistered experiment in which participants accept or reject a series of mixed gambles while exogenously varying how information can be sampled. Specifically, in each trial participants observe the outcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013356502
Economists have become increasingly interested in using attention to explain behavioral patterns both on the micro and macro level. This has resulted in several disparate theoretical approaches. Some, like rational inattention, assume a "top-down" model of executive optimization. Others, like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012605997
Aus Sicht von Keynes hängt das Erfolgspotenzial der Marktwirtschaft nicht nur von der staatlichen Wirtschaftspolitik ab, sondern ebenso vom Wirken vorausschauender Unternehmer:innen. Diese sollen sich seiner Meinung nach dadurch auszeichnen, dass sie trotz allgegenwärtiger Unsicherheit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606071
Risk-taking may depend on whether risks result from an action (active risk-taking) or from not taking action (passive risk-taking). We develop a new experimental risk-elicitation procedure, the Dynamic Lottery Adjustment Task, and employ it across two separate experiments to study the size and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609013