The equity premium of the S&P 500 Index is explained in this paper by several variables that can be grouped into fundamental, behavioral and macroeconomic factors. We hypothesize that the statistical significance of these variables changes across economic regimes. The three regimes we consider...

This book provides a comprehensive account of stochastic filtering as a modeling tool in finance and economics. It aims to present this very important tool with a view to making it more popular among researchers in the disciplines of finance and economics. It is not intended to give a complete...

The objectives are to discern how the three financial sectors' CDS spreads interrelate to each other and with three other risks under the full sample and two subperiods: The 2007 Great Recession, and the 2009 recovery, and to assess the impact of QE1 on those risks in the second subperiod. The...

This study combines the empirical estimation of a Double-Exponential Jump-Diffusion (DEJD) process for a CDS index and the use of estimated parameters to price options on the index. In the first step we find Maximum Likelihood estimates for the diffusion volatility, the Poisson jump frequencies,...

The Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF) methodology is a general and convenient framework for asset pricing. SDF encapsulates all the modeling uncertainties and its advantage is that we do not require the knowledge of investors' preferences. Suitable specification of SDF is, therefore, critical. It...

In this paper we consider two new independent variables as inputs to the Taylor Rule. These are the equity and housing momentum variables and are introduced to investigate the potential usefulness of these two variables in guiding the Fed to lean against potential bubbles. Such effectiveness...

We investigate the characteristic of implied volatility in CDS market and its relationship with stock market within European area. The comprehensive analysis show that stock market weakly leads CDS market on daily changes but for implied volatility, the stock market leads CDS market, and VECM...

In this paper, we decompose credit default swap (CDS) spreads into a transitory component and a persistent component and test how these components are affected by the theoretical explanatory variables. We use three benchmark iTraxx Europe indices of two different maturities (5 and 10 years) and...

We represent credit spreads across ratings as a function of common unobservable factors of the mean-reverting normal (Vasicek) form. Using a state-space approach we estimate the factors, their process parameters, and the exposure of each observed credit spread series to each factor. We find that...

We represent credit spreads across ratings as a function of common unobservable factors of the mean-reverting normal (Vasicek) form. Using a state-space approach we estimate the factors, their process parameters, and the exposure of each observed credit spread series to each factor. We find that...