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Atmospheric CO2 concentrations and surface temperature reconstructions in the study period 1850-2017 are used to estimate observed equilibrium climate sensitivity. Comparison of climate sensitivities in the first and second halves of the study period and a study of climate sensitivities in a...
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such as (a) the mean and variance, (b) any distortion risk measure including the Value-at-Risk and Expected-Shortfall, and … (c) expected utility type constraints, thus making the reverse sensitivity analysis framework suitable for risk models …
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In a quantitative model with uncertain inputs, the uncertainty of the output can be summarized by a risk measure. We … propose a sensitivity analysis method based on derivatives of the output risk measure, in the direction of model inputs. This … distortion risk measures, defined as weighted averages of output percentiles, and prove a representation of the sensitivity …
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