Showing 81 - 90 of 109,023
This paper studies the role of expectations and monetary policy on the economy's response to climate actions. We show … mitigation tool, with a carbon tax entailing more emissions uncertainty than in a rational expectations model and a cap … inflation under control, and by the adoption of monetary rules tied to expectations rather than current macroeconomic conditions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471613
This paper shows that exchange rates respond to only the surprise component of an actual US monetary policy change and that failure to disentangle the surprise component from the actual monetary policy change can lead to an underestimation of the impact of monetary policy, or even to a false...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320908
day-to-day changes in expectations of future US monetary policy, in the context of a study of day-to-day exchange rate … changes. We analyze more than 12 years of daily exchange rate data and show that continuous day-to-day changes in expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320954
This paper analyzes how the formation of expectations constrains monetary and fiscal policy design. Economic agents … the policy regime using historical data. Regime uncertainty substantially narrows, relative to a rational expectations … analysis of the model, the menu of policies consistent with expectations stabilization. When agents are learning about the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283550
Is there a systematic mapping between the Federal Reserve's expectations of macro variables and the words it uses to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374396
Most meetings of the Governing Council of the ECB take place intra muros at the ECB's premises in Frankfurt. Some meetings, however, are held extra muros, i.e. outside Frankfurt, hosted by one of the national central banks. This paper uses high-frequency surprises from meeting days to show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374608
substantially. We document this fact by comparing an easy-to-grasp expectations-based policy, unconventional fiscal policy, with a … consumption via managing inflation expectations based on the Euler equation. Unconventional fiscal policy uses trivial … announcements of future consumer-price increases to boost inflation expectations and consumption expenditure on impact. Instead …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140994
achieve robustness against incomplete information about the structure of the economy by distorting their expectations in a … particular direction.It shows how a linear rational expectations equilibrium under concern for robustness can be solved by … responses of private consumption to government expenditure shocks under robust expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147904
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output,and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147935
stabilize economic growth and in ation expectations through the signaling channel. In doing so, we assess survey …-based expectations data for up to 44 economies from 2002 to 2017 and analyze the impact of the adoption of a negative interest rate … policy on expectations made by professionals based on a difference-in-differences approach. Our main findings are as follows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150764