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We propose a general robust semiparametric bootstrap method to estimate conditional predictive distributions of GARCH-type models. Our approach is based on a robust estimator for the parameters in GARCH-type models and a robustified resampling method for standardized GARCH residuals, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162990
We propose a general robust semiparametric bootstrap method to estimate conditional predictive distributions of GARCH-type models. Our approach is based on a robust estimator for the parameters in GARCH-type models and a robustified resampling method for standardized GARCH residuals, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858522
the empirical analysis on backtesting. Notation is the same as in Mancini and Trojani (2010) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138328
We propose a novel ranking model and a complementary predictive ability test statistic to investigate the forecasting performances of different Value at Risk (VaR) methods. The ranking model develops a unified framework which penalizes excessive capital allocation, autocorrelation of violations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146585
We investigate capital requirements based on Value at Risk (V@R) and Average Value at Risk (AV@R) when the bank's econometric model only approximately describes the true, unknown return generating process, as is often the case in practice. We provide a simple formula for such capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063454
robust procedure outperforms in backtesting several other VaR prediction methods, such as RiskMetrics, CAViaR, Historical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012717719
The Two-Stage Least Squares (2-SLS) is a well known econometric technique used to estimate the parameters of a multi-equation (or simultaneous equations) econometric model when errors across the equations are not correlated and the equation(s) concerned is (are) over-identified or exactly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837152
This paper studies robustness of bootstrap inference methods for instrumental variable (IV)regression models. We consider test statistics for parameter hypotheses based on the IV estimatorand generalized method of trimmed moments (GMTM) estimator introduced by Cížek (2008, 2009),and compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734584
In this work, we introduce a smoothed influence function that constitute a theoretical tool for studying the outliers robustness properties of a large class of nonparametric estimators. With this tool, we first show the nonrobustness of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator of regression. Then we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310591
In this work, we introduce a smoothed influence function that constitute a theoretical tool for studying the outliers robustness properties of a large class of nonparametric estimators. With this tool, we first show the nonrobustness of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator of regression. Then we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956562