Showing 1 - 10 of 134,442
period ahead; in the Volatility treatment, we also elicit subjective confidence intervals of forecasts, which we take as a … measure of perceived volatility. The realized asset price is derived from a Walrasian market equilibrium equation with non …-linear feedback from individual forecasts. Our experimental markets exhibit high volatility, fat tails and other properties typical of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328471
period ahead; in the Volatility treatment, we also elicit subjective confidence intervals of forecasts, which we take as a … measure of perceived volatility. The realized asset price is derived from a Walrasian market equilibrium equation with non …-linear feedback from individual forecasts. Our experimental markets exhibit high volatility, fat tails and other properties typical of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005518715
We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects are asked to predict the price in a standard asset pricingmodel. They do not have knowledge of the underlying market equilibrium equa-tions, but they know all past realized prices and their own predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011333274
the emergence and coordination of expectations in a pure exchange framework. We largely base our study on previous …Notwithstanding the recognized importance of traders' expectations in characterizing the observed market dynamics, for … participants, we observe a higher price volatility, a decreased likelihood of bubble dynamics and, in general, a higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328437
expectations. Each market is populated by six subjects and a small fraction of fun- damentalist traders. Realized prices differ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137028
the emergence and coordination of expectations in a pure exchange framework. We largely base our study on previous …Notwithstanding the recognized importance of traders’ expectations in characterizing the observed market dynamics, for … participants, we observe a higher price volatility, a decreased likelihood of bubble dynamics and, in general, a higher …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005465214
We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects are asked to predict the price in a standard asset pricingmodel. They do not have knowledge of the underlying market equilibrium equa-tions, but they know all past realized prices and their own predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257391
We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects are asked to predict the price in a standard asset pricingmodel. They do not have knowledge of the underlying market equilibrium equa-tions, but they know all past realized prices and their own predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324831
increasing subjects’ coordination on a common prediction strategy. -- Experimental economics ; Expectations ; Coordination … period ahead; in the Volatility treatment, we also elicit subjective confidence intervals of forecasts, which we take as a … measure of perceived volatility. The realized asset price is derived from a Walrasian market equilibrium equation with non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732426
the past. Calibration of simple complexity models with heterogeneous expectations to real financial market data and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325725