This document explores the predictive power of the yield curves in Latin America (Colombia, Mexico, Peru and Chile) taking into account the factors set by the specifications of Nelson & Siegel and Svensson. Several forecasting methodologies are contrasted: an autoregressive model, a vector...

Network analysis has been applied to identify systemically important financial institutions after the 2008 financial crisis. Such applications have stressed the importance of centrality within the too-connected-to-fail concept. Yet, despite their well-known importance for financial stability,...

This paper investigates whether transforming the Consumer Price Index with a class of power transformations lead to an improvement of inflation forecasting accuracy. We use one of the prototypical models to forecast short run inflation which is known as the univariate time series ARIMA . This...

Exploiting spatial and temporal variations in the number of seizures from criminal organizations, I estimate regional fixed effects models of the increase in the number of properties confiscated on the main crime rates. From 2002 security strategies changed, and as a result, the effects on crime...

As a result of the most recent global financial crisis literature has embraced size, connectedness and substitutability as key indicators for financial institutions´ systemic importance. Despite the intuitiveness of these concepts, identifying systemic important institutions remain a...

This paper presents a novel monthly dataset of job vacancies in Bogota between 1960 and 2010. The dataset was constructed by counting the number of help-wanted announcements published in the most important newspaper with national circulation-namely, El Tiempo. We describe the methodology used to...

We estimate a non-parametrical Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and find strong evidence rejecting the classical linear CAPM. Furthermore, we find inconsistent linear betas for a series of stocks in the Colombian stock exchange (BVC), supporting the hypothesis of a better and consistent...

El objetivo de este documento es explicar el nuevo esquema para la fijación del precio máximo de venta al público de la gasolina automotor, establecido recientemente por el gobierno, y mediante un análisis insumo producto determinar su posible impacto sobre la inflación al consumidor. La...

La acentuada preferencia de la población por efectivo para realizar sus compras ha motivado diversos estudios con el propósito de establecer cuáles son los principales determinantes de las decisiones de los agentes sobre los instrumentos de pago que usan en sus transacciones. Este documento...

Durante las últimas décadas el incremento en la desigualdad experimentado por algunas economías desarrolladas ha estado relacionado con la adopción de tecnologías que utilizan intensivamente la mano de obra calificada. En este documento se plantea un modelo teórico en el que se recoge...