This article attempts to identify implicit exchange rate regimes for the yen/dollar exchange rate. To that end, we apply a sequential procedure that considers both the dynamics of exchange rates and central bank interventions to data covering the period from 1971 to 2003. Our results suggest...

This paper provides some new evidence on the credibility of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) of the European Monetary System (EMS). The study differs from previous research in the literature in three main respects. First, the main contribution is the use of several credibility indicators, some...

The objective of this article is to identify implicit bands for the Spanish peseta/Deutschmark exchange rate. To this end, based on the 'natural' classification approach suggested by Reinhart and Rogoff (2004), we propose a statistical test to assess the statistical significance of the outcome...

This paper assesses the degree of credibility of the Irish Pound in the European Monetary System between 1983 and 1997. Different credibility indicators proposed in the literature are used to measure agents’ perceptions of the credibility of the ERM commitment in an attempt to distinguish...

Taking into account that transaction prices are realized at the bid or the ask price, we propose a probabilistic neural network model and a Bayesian rule to predict the incoming order signal of a stock and its probability using the buy-sell trade indicator or trade direction sign. We consider...

In this paper the hypothesis that repeated purchases in the tourism markets could be considered as a consequence of asymmetrical information problems is studied. This hypothesis is analysed with the case study of the island of Tenerife using the estimation of a count data model. It was found...

This study employs different nonlinear models (smooth transition autoregressive models (STAR), artificial neural networks (ANN) and nearest neighbours (NN)) to study the predictability of one-step-ahead forecast returns for the Ibex35 stock future index at a one year forecast horizon. It is...