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expected and unexpected in ation shocks embedded in sovereign bond yields; and provides estimates of the real risk-free rate … recent years, a low real risk-free rate, as well as low levels of compensation for both expected and unexpected in ation. The … on the embedded in ation risk premium of issuing nominal debt, appears to be eroded by the liquidity premium charged by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
This paper investigates the ability of gold to hedge worldwide risks from the perspective of global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU). By applying the full- and sub-sample rolling-window bootstrap causality tests to analyze the dynamic interaction between GEPU and gold price (GP). It can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270374
We examine time-varying explanatory power of realized moments on subsequent bond futures excess returns using more than 12 years of high-frequency data from U.S. and German sovereign bond markets. We detect realized volatility and realized kurtosis to carry valuable information for next-day...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181035
This paper tests the existence of a risk premium in the one-month and three-month forward exchange markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207737
returns. The only identifying assumption is that this λ-shock demands the highest risk price per unit of exposure, or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982487
There is a tight empirical link between the determinants of the cross-section of risk premia and selected structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967042
Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024262
area equity market uncertainty and investors risk aversion within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet … shock decreases both risk aversion and uncertainty at least in the medium-run. A negative shock on policy rates has also a … negative impact on risk aversion and uncertainty. These results are generally robust to different specifications of the VAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492572
endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and … analytical decomposition to illustrate how multiple distinct endogenous risk wedges account for these differences. Supply and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
the impact of uncertainty risk on oil prices. Economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk were used as proxy … variables for economic and political uncertainty risk. The study results indicate that oil price is driven jointly by two … uncertain risk factors, where the impact of economic policy uncertainty is significantly greater than that of geopolitical risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497145