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Recently, a dramatic accumulation in foreign exchange reserves has been widely observed in developing countries. This paper explores the possible long-run impacts of this trend on macroeconomic variables in developing countries. We analyze a simple open economy model where increased foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009364008
This paper asks whether bonanzas (surges) in net capital inflows increase the probability of banking crises and whether this is necessarily through a lending boom mechanism. A fixed effects regression analysis indicates that a baseline bonanza, identified as a surge of one standard deviation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010555799
The IMF's 2002 proposal for a new Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism (SDRM) attracted considerable criticism from both emerging market sovereign debt issuers and from private sector financial institutions. This paper outlines the features of the SDRM and its advantages as perceived by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556278
In this paper a Blanchard (1985) type model has been applied to a small open economy to analyse the long-term behaviour of current account balance. It shows, under the assumptions of the model that the current account balance, net-of-government-debt wealth of households, the difference between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008599648
Since 2003, New European Union Member States have made large capital inflows, which led to a credit crunch and recession. Whether they are foreign direct investment, or banking flows, capital inflows ultimately affect GDP, depending on how they are invested. In the specialty literature, analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607264
Following the financial fragility approach of H. Minsky and its later extension by J. Kregel, the paper addresses some basic aspects of the dynamics and management offoreign debt in the perspective of the emerging countries. Minsky's definitions of hedge, speculative and Ponzi positions are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010751992
The paper addresses two core questions: do recommendations have an impact on the allocation of flows in the asset class? Above all, are we facing in this asset class major problems of asymmetries of information? In order to answer these questions, we used untapped and rich datasets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010756720
There is no consensus in the empirical literature on the direction in which U.S. monetary policy affects cross-border bank lending. We find robust evidence that the impact of the U.S. federal funds rate on cross-border bank lending in a given period depends on the prevailing international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916304
The current paper reviews poverty issues and economic development in Sudan. The conclusions focus on the conception that unless Sudan increases his economic activity and hence employment, the economic situation will see more deteriorations. Applying marker economy and trade liberalization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014185353
The purpose of this paper is to explain the reluctance of developing countries to open up their capital market to foreigners, and the conditions inducing an emerging market economy to switch its policies. We consider an economy characterized initially by a one-sided openness to the capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123703