For strategic purposes of setting price and productivity targets, organisations need to make projection of long-term cost as well as short-term cost estimation. For long-term cost estimation, organisations do rely on the experience curve among other methodologies. However, for short-term cost...

This paper develops analytical methods to forecast the distribution of future returns for a new continuous-time process, the Poisson multi-fractal. The process captures the thick tails, volatility persistence and moment scaling exhibited by many financial time series. It can be interpreted as a...

The problem considered in this paper is how to find reliable prediction intervals with simple exponential smoothing and trend corrected exponential smoothing. Methods for constructing prediction intervals based on linear approximation and bootstrapping are proposed.

There as been on-going debate and empirical investigation in the literature as to whether or not the term structure contains information about future inflation. In this paper, the authors present new evidence about the information in the term structure of interest rates about future inflation in...