We attempt to investigate whether the ERM period coincided with an increase in intra-Eu exports. We conclude that this has not been the case but it is likely that the elimination of nominal exchange rate variability arising from a single currency will boost intra-EU trade.

By utilizing the techniques of multivariate cointegration and error correction models, we investigate the impact of the different exchange-rate regimes that spanned the 20th century on the bilateral reports between the UK and the US over the last 98 years.

We have tested for a long-run relationship between four US export measures and analogous import measures (measured in nominal and real terms, levels and deflated by GNP) inthe 1967-1994 period using quarterly data. Using various econometric tests that include standard Engle-Granger cointegration...