By employing the techniques of multivariate cointegration and error-correction models, we investigate the impact of the creation of the European Monetary System (EMS) on the exports of the four largest EU countries to each other. Our findings suggest that the impact of the EMS on bilateral...

We attempt to investigate whether the ERM period coincided with an increase in intra-Eu exports. We conclude that this has not been the case but it is likely that the elimination of nominal exchange rate variability arising from a single currency will boost intra-EU trade.

By utilizing the techniques of multivariate cointegration and error correction models, we investigate the impact of the different exchange-rate regimes that spanned the 20th century on the bilateral reports between the UK and the US over the last 98 years.

The relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty is investigated in six European Union countries for the period 1960-99. Exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and then Granger methods are...