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We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005190801
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604360
The authors study the dependence of the Czech koruna’s exchange rate to the euro on risk factors that cannot be reduced to standard macroeconomic fundamentals. For this purpose, they construct an international asset-pricing model in which the exchange rate is codetermined by a risk factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005698614
In this paper we evaluate the out of sample forecasting performance of a large number of models belonging to a popular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585089
reversion and assume that relative prices are unchanged. Direct forecasting or panel data techniques are better than the random …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856403
better quality than PPP. The MB approach has the most appealing economic interpretation, but performs poorly in forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012139745
We study the microstructure of the MTS Global Market bond trading system, which is the largest interdealer trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604478
Using the longest data set on FX order flow to date, along with the broadest coverage of currencies to date, we examine the effect of FX order flow on exchange rates across small and large currencies, currencies with floating or fixed regimes, and across both tranquil and turbulent periods. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143789
Using the longest data set on FX order flow to date, along with the broadest coverage of currencies to date, we examine the effect of FX order flow on exchange rates across small and large currencies, currencies with floating or fixed regimes, and across both tranquil and turbulent periods. Over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009391592
We study the microstructure of the MTS Global Market bond trading system. This system is the largest pan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791526